Let me make this clear: I do want the Ags to win against K-State - after all, I would hate for them to roll in the HUB in a couple of weeks with 3 or 4 losses and a losing record. It would take some of the luster off of the Rooster Bowl.
With that said, I must point out 2 glaring obstacles that stand in the Aggie's way in Manhattan:
1)
The Ags are completely unproven away from Gomer Pyle Field - they have lost every time they've played on the road. I know Joe likes to take solace in the fact that the Ags "should have won" at Clemson, at the end of the day, the simple fact is they did not. The trip to Boulder last weekend.....well, it speaks for itself.
2)
Bad defenses never win games - and the Ags have had their share of problems that are well-documented this year. Kansas State will score points on Saturday, and their defense should keep them in the game. I pick the Wildcats to win based upon the fact that they're much better coached and that the game is in Manhattan.
KSU 27
Ags 24Now for the biggest game in Tech history (and it is):Clearly, this is Leach's best team yet, and the Austin Yahoos are saying that this is Butterteeth's best team as well - mostly because he finally beat an OU team that quit after the first game of the season. (remember: this is always UT's best team/best recruiting class every year until Stoops cornholes them in Dallas) While it is true that this is the highest ranking Tech has had since 1977, it's also a fact that UT hasn't been undefeated this late in the season in over 20 years.
Tech's offense is better than UT's. Tech's second string receivers would be starting for the Horns, no doubt. Hendo is the best all-around RB in the league - he's proven that for the last 3 years with his stats. While UT's defense may be the best Tech has seen, let's remember that cuts both ways - Tech's offense is far and away superior to any other offense that the Horns will face.
Bottom line: I don't think the Horns offense can put points on the board like Tech can
Defensively, the Horns are once again one of the best in the nation. No surprise there. What is surprising is that Tech is vastly improved over last year, and leads the nation in recovered fumbles. Slay is 2nd in the country in forced fumbles, and quite possibly could be the hardest hitter in the country.
Botton line: Texas has the better D and players- no doubt. Tech, however, has a good defense that really pursues the ball well and lays the wood on the opposing teams.
We all know the common stats, but here are a few that not too many people take notice of:
UT commits more penalties than Tech, and Tech is second in the league in the catagory of penalties committed against them. Texas is 11th.UT has missed 6 extra points thus far, while Tech is perfect (every Ag should understand the importance of this one)What all of this means:Vince Young, of course, scares me a little. I do wonder how the Tech defense will hold up late in the game, so the Tech offense will really have to make the most of every single possession.
While Tech has the most to prove, UT definitely has the most to lose. All of the pressure is on Butterteeth and his Horns.
Does Tech have a chance: Yes
Do I pick Tech to win: Yes
Will Tech win: Don't know - as I've said all season, if the team doesn't commit stupid penalties and continues to grind away, they should be able to outscore the Horns.Red Raiders 37Horns 32