Wednesday, October 19, 2005

Weekend outlook: Texas Tech @ Texas; A&M @ K-State

Texas Tech @ Texas
I have gone back and forth in my mind on Tech's chances against the Longhorns. I want Tech to win, and I do believe they have a chance, but I can't get past a couple of critical factors:

  1. Tech is completely unproven. They have only played one road game, which they barely pulled off, thanks to a freakish fumble. I do admit, it was a great comeback win, and that kind of a win under adversity builds confidence and character. On the other hand, that is the best win they have, and it is of questionable quality. Nebraska played close with Baylor, and I have been told by Tech experts (hereby known as "Tech-spurts") that playing close with Baylor = bad team.
  2. This is the clincher: Great defenses always win out over flashy, gimmick offenses. The Longhorn defense is too fast and too good for Tech to be able to execute with any consistency.

Prediction: Texas Longhorns 45, Texas Tech Red Raiders 27

Texas A&M @ Kansas State

This one will be a defining moment for the Aggie's season, no doubt. A&M is a 4 point favorite, but I see a much bigger victory for the Aggies. K-State has been nothing short of a total disappointment this season, with their only impressive victory over the powerhouse of old Tech nemisis North Texas State. They had a pitiful showing against Florida Int'l and Marshall, and then fell totally flat against in-state rival, and doormat of the North--Kansas. KU has one of the worst defenses in the NCAA, and K-State rung them up with 12 (twelve) points. Their defense is good on paper, but in reality, not that great buddy. D-stats were heavily padded with weak foes like FIU, Marshall, NTSU & KU, and was exposed when faced with a legitimate offensive threat.

I know you could make the same arguments about A&M, letting Texas State hang around, and the OT win (should've lost) versus Baylor, but my prediction here assumes:

  1. Aggie defense will continue the improving trend.
  2. Reggie and the offense will continue to click, and go off in a big victory on the road.

Prediction: Fightin' Texas Aggies 48, Kansas State Wildcats 13

8 comments:

bake said...

Hilarious - According to Joe, the Aggie's "defining" moment will come against a team he claims is terrible. (hold on while I pull myself back up off of the floor from laughing) Ok, I'm back - so the obvious question is that if KSU is so bad, and this will be the Aggie's finest moment, then what exactly does this say about those Fightin' Texas Aggies?

bake said...

BTW: Kansas' defense is #24, while the Wrecked Crew is #88 - out of 117 teams.

Based upon those simple facts, who is it again that has one of the absolute WORST defenses in the NCAA?

(hint: there's a McDonald's managerial training center accross the street from the university)

Magnum said...

A&M is struggling this year, and I've not been hesitant to admit it. We need a road victory this year, and a big win in Manhattan could be a defining moment for the direction of the season.

What's the big deal about that. I know it is astounding to you that someone would be realistic about their team, since you rarely are. There's nothing in my post that's really even a stretch. Maybe you were on the floor for some other reason...hmmmm?

Magnum said...

for the record, TOLEDO's defense is 10th. How could that be?

bake said...

On the floor for another reason? Leave my bong out of this, roosterjoe, you cad.

(my picks will be posted later tonight)

Magnum said...

who said anything about a bong?

Magnum said...

Stellar defense (according to Blake):

Kansas-24th (racked up stats against the likes of Florida Atlantic, App St, and La Tech)
K-State-37th (shut down the powerhouses of Florida Int'l, Marshall, and North Texas)

At least he's consistent...this lines up perfectly with his feelings that Tech's 6-0 record is so solid.

You rag me for things I fully acknowledge about the A&M defensive problems and stuggles on the road, yet you refuse to admit things that even the most biased Tek fan won't deny...they have not had an opportunity to prove themselves. This may well be the best team Tech has fielded in 30 years. Who would know?

In your stretch to prove how great KU and KSU are, you are actually setting yourself up to have to give a great deal of credit to the Ags after they win. At the same time, you are easing the pain of the close game against Baylor, who has a better defensive ranking than either, at #20.

Of course, in reality, this is a meaningless stat, since by your logic, you would have me believe that Toledo (#10) and West Virginia (#13) have a better defense than Florida State (#15) or Tennessee (#16).

Moral: Never listen to a Tech-spurt's advise on defense.

Anonymous said...

I've got the ags winning 38 - 28. I hyavn't done a lot of research but this game is really a must win for us to keep the season in tact.

If we win, we will have the same conference record as Tech. Funny how quickly things can change.